1) Average daily heat lags are around 2 hours after peak solar incoming rays (about 2-3pm, after a peak around noon). This relates to a lag around 20-25% of total time of warming from dawn.
2) Average annual highest T occurs about 6 weeks after the longest day of the year, again around 20-25% of total warming trend since the winter solstice.

My question is: when this 20-25% is applied to the total warming trend of the sun from around 1750-1950, suggests a lag heat effect of T of around 40-60 years, peaking around the early 2000s, which is exactly what is observed.

This seems to me a simple and powerful explanation of the entire solar warming trend, inclduing the T flattening that is currently occurring, withouth needing to invoke C02.

Also, the lag effect of 40-60 years after peak solar activity shows more warming in the latter 20th century in the northern hemisphere, which is expected since there is less ocean in the northern hemisphere.

Also, from this model, predictions can be made over the next 20 years, at least, since the sun has now waned slightly

1) Northern hemisphere should not warm much over the next 20 years (well below IPCC forecasts). Current T flattening suggests ocean-land equilibrium has been reached in the northern hemisphere.
2) Southern hemisphere T may continue to warm slightly, since the larger area of ocean may still exhibit a heat lag effect.
3) Overall T should not increase much over the next few decades, if the sun is dominating climate change since ~1750-2000s.

Note also: flattening of T around the 1950-70s relates to absorption by the oceans, paralleling a flattened, sustained peak in solar activity. Lag heat then kicked in from the 1980s-2000s. This heat lag effect should be now, largely over.

I have never seen this conceptual model mentioned or debated, that is:

that the lag heat effect in the latter 20th century relates to the ENTIRE warming trend of solar activity since ~1750-1950, ie, the total area under the curve of rising solar activity since 1750, ( and including flatenned solar activity since 1950), and not short term solar activity peaks and troughs, as depicted in various research papers (eg Usoskin 2005, Haigh 2003 etc).

This model could explain much, including why many global warming websites point to the period 1978-1998 as being unexplanable by flattened solar activity, withouth examining the longer term heat lag effect on earth of about 40-60 years, from the ENTIRE warming trend from ~1750-1950.

Could a serious scientists have a look at this. Every day on earth this time lag of 20-25% occurs, in average daily peak

For a erudite appraisal may I commend An Appeal to Reason
A Cool Look at Global Warming 2008 Nigel Lawson Former UK Chancellor Of the Exchequer and Secretary of State for Energy. ISBN 978-0-7156-3786-9 (UK) 978-1-5902-0084-1 (US)

http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=6189

There is no link to the Climate Audit article… which would be nice. Of course… it probably takes less effort to search for it than write this post.

Why should global warming propaganda be any different than the presentation for every other political issue?